2025 set to be the 2nd or 3rd-hottest year ever: Scientists
The world is on track to experience its second or third-warmest year on record in 2025, according to the European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S). This comes after 2024, which was marked by record-breaking temperatures and extreme weather events. The C3S has analyzed global temperature data and predicts that 2025 will be an exceptionally warm year, with an average global temperature that exceeds 1.5 degrees Celsius above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial period.
This prediction is alarming, as it indicates an accelerating rate of climate change. The past few years have seen a steady increase in global temperatures, with 2024 being the hottest year on record. The fact that 2025 is expected to be the second or third-warmest year ever suggests that this trend is continuing, and that the world is moving further away from its goal of limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels.
The C3S has attributed the expected warmth in 2025 to a combination of natural climate variability and human-induced climate change. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), a natural climate cycle that affects global temperatures, is expected to play a role in the warmth of 2025. However, the underlying trend of human-induced climate change is the primary driver of the expected temperature increase.
The consequences of a warming planet are far-reaching and devastating. Rising temperatures are melting polar ice caps, raising sea levels, and altering ecosystems. Extreme weather events, such as heatwaves, droughts, and heavy rainfall, are becoming more frequent and intense. The World Health Organization (WHO) has warned that climate change is one of the greatest threats to human health, with increased risks of heat stress, waterborne diseases, and respiratory problems.
The prediction that 2025 will be the second or third-warmest year ever is also significant because it marks the first three-year period in which the average global temperature has exceeded 1.5 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial period. This is a critical threshold, as it indicates that the world is moving beyond the limits of safe and sustainable climate change.
The United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has warned that exceeding 1.5 degrees Celsius of warming will have catastrophic consequences, including the loss of coral reefs, the collapse of ice sheets, and the displacement of millions of people. The fact that the world is already exceeding this threshold is a stark reminder of the urgent need for climate action.
Governments, businesses, and individuals must work together to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and transition to a low-carbon economy. This requires a fundamental transformation of our energy systems, transportation networks, and land use practices. It also requires a commitment to climate justice, ensuring that the most vulnerable communities are protected and supported in the face of climate change.
The European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) has provided critical data and analysis to inform climate policy and decision-making. The C3S has highlighted the importance of continued climate monitoring and research, as well as the need for international cooperation and collective action to address the climate crisis.
In conclusion, the prediction that 2025 will be the second or third-warmest year ever is a stark reminder of the accelerating rate of climate change. The world must come together to address this crisis, reducing greenhouse gas emissions and transitioning to a low-carbon economy. The consequences of inaction will be catastrophic, but with collective action and determination, we can still limit global warming and create a safer, more sustainable future for all.