Nifty likely to see 15% return in 2026: Helios founder Samir Arora
The Indian market is expected to bounce back, with a predicted 15% return in the Nifty index in 2026, according to Samir Arora, founder of Helios Capital. This optimistic forecast comes after a tumultuous period for the market, which experienced significant fluctuations between September 2024 and March 2025. However, Arora believes that the prospects for the next year look promising, driven by the country’s improving performance compared to other markets.
From March onwards, the midcap index has shown a remarkable 25% increase, while the smallcap index has risen by 18-20%. These gains are a testament to the resilience of the Indian market, which has managed to recover from the setbacks it faced in the previous year. Despite this progress, Arora acknowledges that the market still has not fully overcome the challenges that arose between September 2024 and March 2025. The road to complete recovery will likely be long and arduous, but the current trends suggest a positive trajectory.
Arora’s prediction of a 15% return in the Nifty index in 2026 is based on his analysis of the market’s performance and the overall economic conditions. He points out that from October onwards, India’s market has been performing better than most other markets, which is a encouraging sign for investors. This outperformance is a reflection of the country’s strong fundamentals and its ability to navigate through challenging times.
The Indian market has been driven by a combination of factors, including the government’s policies, the performance of key sectors, and the overall sentiment of investors. The midcap and smallcap segments, in particular, have been instrumental in driving the market’s growth, with many stocks in these segments showing significant gains. The recovery in these segments is a positive sign, as it indicates that the market is broad-based and not just driven by a few large-cap stocks.
Arora’s prediction of a 15% return in the Nifty index in 2026 is also based on his expectation of a pickup in economic growth. The Indian economy has been facing challenges in recent times, including a slowdown in consumption and investment. However, with the government’s efforts to boost growth and the expected pickup in demand, the economy is likely to recover in the coming year. This recovery will have a positive impact on the market, driving up stock prices and leading to higher returns for investors.
The prospects for the next year look good, according to Arora, with the market expected to continue its upward trajectory. The expected return of 15% in the Nifty index in 2026 is a reasonable forecast, given the current trends and the overall economic conditions. Investors who are looking to invest in the Indian market can consider this forecast as a guide, but it is essential to keep in mind that the market is inherently unpredictable, and there are always risks involved.
In conclusion, the Indian market is expected to bounce back, with a predicted 15% return in the Nifty index in 2026, according to Samir Arora, founder of Helios Capital. The market has shown significant gains in recent times, driven by the midcap and smallcap segments, and the overall economic conditions are expected to improve in the coming year. While there are risks involved, the prospects for the next year look promising, and investors can consider this forecast as a guide for their investment decisions.
News Source: https://www.ndtvprofit.com/amp/markets/how-much-return-will-nifty-give-in-2026-samir-arora-weighs-in